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My major hope for this website is that it can help end the
frustration I’ve gone through over the
past few years regarding horses that I’ve spotted using my speed figures.
On far too many occasions neither I nor my colleague Bernard have been able to
persuade any one to buy one of the bargain horses my speed figures has
identified. As a result
I’ve had to sit and suffer as they have proceeded to go and win big races just
as I predicted they would.
Read the following sample reports and you’ll understand
my frustration. You’ll also
understand just why I am so keen to put this information on my website. None of
the reports produced a sale, though all of them pinpointed fantastic
If you are interested in the idea of buying a horse from one country to race in
another I’d urge you to give our bloodstock service a chance.
I will provide you with an in-depth report on a horse that I think best
suits your requirements. Then my
colleague Bernard will carry out all the steps required to buy the horse, carry
out veterinary exams and finally ship it. For
this we expect no more than the normal commission of 5% but provide a far more
informed service – one that I’m convinced will make money for our clients.
At any given time, there will be anything from two or three to half a dozen
horses on my hot list. These will
be runners that I rate as standouts on my speed figures and which I know to be
available at a very reasonable price.
Each horse on my hot list will be a runner that I think
could do better racing in another country.
I firmly believe that each major racing country has different strengths
and weaknesses in its racehorse population.
These differences can be exploited if you have accurate speed figures.
You can take a horse from a strong population, export it and and run it
against a weak population.
For example, a filly or mare in Europe is forced to race against males except in
a few select contests. In America
there are so many races restricted to females that few fillies or mares ever
take on males in their entire career. As
a result, a European filly might look pretty slow if you simply considered how
often she’d won. Take her to
America however and she’d probably ‘improve’ massively because she’d be
able to race against softer opposition.
Equally, horses in Germany are bred to stay really well, while horses in the
United States and elsewhere are bred for shorter trips.
I estimate that the average US sprinter is about 0.7 of a second faster
than its German counterpart but that the German horses at a mile and a quarter
are 1.2 seconds faster. What this
means is that if you can find a German Grade 3 horse that’s suited to US
conditions it may well become a Grade 1 horse in America simply by showing the
same level of form.
I call this situation ‘equine arbitrage’; arbitrage
being the practice of buying something that is undervalued in one place and
selling it in another place where it is prized.
I am convinced that global speed ratings are the way to pinpoint
‘equine arbitrage’ possibilities. Read
these sample reports and I think you’ll agree.
2. hail the
3. war blade
4. Swedish shave