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MYBOYCHARLIE IS A SMART SPRINTER
The French just don't breed sprinters. And in the last
decade or so they rarely run their best horses at two, except for the occasional
run right at the end of the season. This being so it's inevitable that the Prix
Morny is a soft target for foreign raiders. And you can see this from the
results.
Foreign runners have an exception record in the Prix Morny.
And all of those that won scored on their latest start and lost no more than one
previous race.
Here is how the foreign Prix Morny runners have done that
matched this profile from 1994 to 2006 fared;
2006 Dutch Art WON 4-1
2005 Silca's Sister WON 9-1
Ivan Denisovich second
2003 Carrizo Creek fifth
2002 Elusive City WON 19-10
Al Turf fifth
2001 Johannesburg WON 3-5
Meshaheer third
2000 Bad As I Wanna Be WON 144/10
Endless Summer second (disq)
Pyrus fourth
Red Magic fifth
1999 Fasilyev WON 6-5
Warm Heart second
Bachir third
1998 Orpen WON 13-2
Exeat second
Red Sea seventh
1996 Bahamian Bounty WON 56/10
Rich Ground fourth
1994 Hoh Magic WON 24/10
Bruttina second
This year there was just a single foreign runner in the
Prix Morny that had won last time out and lost no more than once. The horse in
question was MYBOYCHARLIE (39), and sure enough he won in seriously good style.
Myboycharlie is built and bred like a sprinter. Indeed his
sire, Danetime has never had a pattern winner beyond sprint trips from 24
attempts. And all 46 runners by Danetime that have tried to win at a mile or
more in races worth 20,000 pounds or more all lost. His dam has produced nothing
but sprinters when she's been mated with sires whose progeny have an average
winning distance anything like as low as Danetime's too.
As I see it the idea that Myboycharlie could stay the mile
of the 2000 Guineas is fanciful. He's surely nothing but a sprinter. However he
is a very good sprinter, and I see nothing that's likely to stop him winning the
Middle Park Stakes.
I'd be inclined to oppose Myboycharlie if he is stepped up
to seven furlongs this season. Next season he'll face a tough task beating older
horses in the top sprints. So I imagine the main job Coolmore have for him is to
retain his unbeaten record at two and get another Group 1 win in the Middle
Park. That will make him an attractive stallion.
The brilliant NATAGORA (37) tried to stretch the field. But
she's bred for longer trips and Myboycharlie simply swamped her for speed in the
closing stages. She kept on strongly and still looks an interesting candidate
for the Prix Marcel Boussac and any other longer race she gets entered for.
It was even worse for the Fabre-trained ALEXANDROS (36).
He'd broken his maiden over seven furlongs and was clearly having problems with
the shorter trip here. He finished full of run however and was closing the gap
nicely towards the finish. When he steps up to a longer distance I'd be wary of
opposing him. He looks a future Group 1 winner in the making and would be rather
interesting if shipped over to Britain for the Dewhurst Stakes.
MANDURO DOES IT AGAIN
I was a big fan of MANDURO (33) last season. Now that he's
so popular I keep trying to find a reason to bet against him. The cut back to a
mile was the reason I plumped for in the Prix Jacques le Marois. But it proved
no obstacle to the smart German bred who stretched his unbeaten record this term
to four races.
An interesting aspect of Manduro's win was that it was
achieved in a time 1.2 seconds slower than the Listed handicap over the same
course and distance a few races earlier. Clearly the early pace wasn't strong.
Logically you'd think this would have been a big problem for a middle distance
horse like Manduro but clearly it wasn't.
Seeing how big a reputation he now has I shall continue to
look for reasons to oppose Manduro. But I confess I'm fast beginning to lose
enthusiasm in the idea. He seems capable of beating anything at any distance on
any ground on any sort of course off any sort of pace.
NOBLE PRINCE LOOKING GOOD FOR PRIX LUTECE
Andre Fabre relies heavily on the top German stud farms to
provide him with pattern winners these days. So it's not surprising he scored a
patter race double with German breds Manduro and NOBLE PRINCE (38) at Deauville.
Manduro proved that not all German breds stay forever in
the Marois. But Noble Prince went the more traditional route for horses bred in
Germany by improving massively for the step up to 1m 7f in the Listed Prix
Michel Houyvet.
Noble Prince is still in the Arc but the Group 3 Prix
Lutece over 1m 7f is his next target. I rather wish he was going to be
supplemented for the St Leger as he'd make an interesting contender for that
race. Certainly he looks a good prospect for staying races from now on.
WATCH OUT FOR SENTINELESE AT ASCOT NEXT MONTH
Over in France they don't have many super-valuable
handicaps. There are the 'Tierce' handicaps run on an almost daily basis which
are worth 48,000 Euro in total. But there are only a handful of more valuable
handicaps. And the most valuable of all is the 100,000 Euro Grand handicap de
Deauville which is also the only French handicap to carry pattern status.
This year's renewal of the Grand Handicap de Deauville was
won in clear cut fashion by SENTINELESE (39) who was running beyond a sprint
trip for the first time in his life. He showed marked improvement for the step
up to a mile and looks more than capable of taking a Group race in the near
future.
Sentinelese actually clocked a time 1.2 seconds faster for
the straight mile at Deauville than Manduro managed later on the card in a slow
run renewal of the Prix Jacques le Marois. So he's clearly a useful horse in
these circumstances.
Actually I strongly suspect that Sentinelese will be kept
to handicaps and shipped over to Britain for some of the really valuable ones
staged on this side of the Channel. I say this because there is an unwritten
agreement between the French handicapper and owners. If they keep entering a
horse for Tierce handicaps they'll bend over backwards to keep its official
rating low enough so that it remains eligible. This keeps a high class French
horse's rating artificially low.
Nobody knows this better than John Hammond, the trainer of
Sentinelese. He is British and has made several successful raids on big British
handicaps with well weighted Tierce handicappers. No doubt he already has his
eyes on a couple of big British handicaps.
The screamingly obvious UK target for Sentilese is the
100,000 pound seven furlong handicap run at Ascot next month. I'd be suprised if
John Hammond doesn't send him over for that race. Sentinelese would also be an
interesting candidate for the Cambridgeshire. The Ascot race looks more his
distance though and I see him as the one they'll all have to beat in that event.
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