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STRIKING AMBITION THE KING OF SMALL FIELD SPRINTS
That anguished scream you might have heard last Saturday
night was me responding to the result of the Prix du Ris-Orangis at Deauville. I
hadn't bothered looking at the race in the morning and so missed noticing that
STRIKING AMBITION (40) was running in a small field.
Striking Ambition is one of those horses I feel I've really
figured out. I know there is one particular circumstance where he's almost
unbeatable - and that's in a small field. He had an amazing record going into
the Deauville race in small fields. He'd run in five sprints with less than ten
runners and won them all. Now he's won six out of six, the latest at a
mouthwatering 12-1 which makes me very grumpy for having missed it.
I suspect the reason that Striking Ambition does so well in
small fields is that they tend to generate a slower pace. In this regard it's
also worth noting that but for one narrow loss he would have won the last five
times he's contested sprints in France and Ireland where the early pace is
invariably slower than it is in British races over five and six furlongs. Sadly
this doesn't mean Striking Ambition is the one to be on in the Prix Abbaye. That
race is contested by so many British sprinters it's almost always run at a
fierce gallop - as evidenced by his wide margin loss in the Abbaye of 2003.
We're just going to have to wait till Striking Ambition ventures abroad for some
other sprint or finds himself in a small field once more. That could be a long
time happening.
The well bred three year old filly NIPPING (39) had run her
best race of the season last time and improved again here on the step up to six
furlongs. If there were sprint races restricted to her age and sex she'd be
almost unbeatable. She still looks to be some tool for the weak Group sprints
they have in France, as long as she can avoid the smarter British raiders.
VOLTMETER COULD BE A LEGER CANDIDATE
You don't often see a three year old run a pattern class
time over the St Leger trip in early July. But that's what VOLTMETER (37) did
when winning a warm looking conditions race at Deauville last Saturday.
Being by Giant's Causeway it's not surprising Voltmeter had
been kept to ten furlongs for his previous five starts. However he clearly
appreciated the step up to a trip only 33 yards shy of 1m 7f here because it
enabled him to break his maiden in unusually fast time.
Votlmeter holds entries in two Group 1 races - the Arc and
the Grand Prix de Paris. But trainer Eli Lellouche must surely now be thinking
in terms of another Group 1 race run at Doncaster in September.
SILENCE IS GOLDEN FOR NEEDLECRAFT
Henri-Alex Pantall told Paris Turf that he thought
NEEDLECRAFT (38) would turn out to be a Group 1 performer after her debut win.
He looked to be wrong when the filly proceeded to run unplaced on her next two
starts. But he thought there had to be some explanation and tried an experiment
with ear plugs on her next start at Saint-Cloud. They seemed to work for she won
well there and followed up with a win in fast time in the Group 3 Prix Chloe at
Saint-Cloud.
Pantall said after the race "the ear plugs are
beneficial for her. She is a rather delicate filly and the fact of having
stoppers in her ears relaxed her a good deal."
No doubt the ear plugs will remain in all Needlecraft's
future races. Just what those will be is hard to say as she holds no engagements
and Pantall didn't mention any to reporters. Most likely she's going to get the
normal Summer break that top French horses get and will be targeted at something
big in the Autumn. She's a horse to remember when she returns as she earned one
of the biggest speed ratings I've given a three year old filly so far this
season.
BAGO STILL LOOKING GOOD FOR THE KING GEORGE
I have complained here before about the inaccuracy of the
Pentrometer in measuring the state of the going in France. Last week we had
another prime example of this at Saint-Cloud. The Penetrometer reading indicated
the going was good to soft. Race times show it was actually firm.
In my experience one big problem with an inaccurate going
report such as this is that it frequently suckers jockeys into setting too slow
an early pace. They go what would be a decent pace if the ground was as soft as
the official report says, but it's a slow pace for firm ground.
I've seen a couple of reports that indicate the early pace
in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud was strong. But the final time says it simply
can't have been. The winner Alkaased (37) ran about a second and a half slower
than he should have done in a true run race. The only way you could say he ran
faster would be to assume that the entire field in the minor stayer's handicap
later on the card suddenly improved ten lengths or that the standard time for 1m
7.5f of that race should somehow be faster per furlong than for the mile and a
half of the Grand Prix. Neither eventuality looks remotely possible on the
available evidence. The clock says the early pace must have been slow in the
Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud. Slow enough anyhow to produce a sub-par final time.
BAGO (34) has only ever been beaten so far in slow run
races where he got caught flat-footed when the pace quickened before finishing
strongly but too late. That's exactly how he ran here. It's also the way that
REEFSCAPE (33) ran as well, and he's another horse that can get caught for
acceleration in a slow run race.
According to Paris Turf Bago was also short of room twice -
once entering the straight and then again at the furlong pole. It seems to me
that in the circumstances he did everything you could hope for and that he
remains the one they all have to beat in the King George.
The King George is virtually never slow run. Around
Newbury's dead flat two mile oval with its half mile run-in, I still find it
hard to see how anything is going to be able to hold Bago's trademark long late
surge.
JANJAN A NAME TO REMEMBER
JANJAN (38) bolted up by six lengths in a minor conditions
race at Maisons-Laffitte, earning a Group 3 class rating from me in the process.
This three year olds is clearly improving and is very well suited to a mile and
a half. He holds no fancy entries but I'd give him a serious chance of earning
some black type soon.
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