BEHKABAD HAS THE ARC AT HIS MERCY
I've been whittering on all season about how I rate
BEHKABAD (42) the best horse in Europe and that he was a good thing for the
Grand Prix de Paris. So I would have looked a little silly if he'd been beaten
in the big race. Thankfully the horse saved me from embarrassment with a
tremendous performance which went a long way towards justifying what I've said
about him.
Behkabad's rider decided to ditch his normal pace-pressing
tactics in the Prix du Jockey Club due to being draw wide in an enormous field.
This time around the field was smaller so he sat on the heels of Planteur's
pacemaker Vivre Libre who set a searching pace.
Entering the straight with two and a half furlongs left
Vivre Libre fell away and Behkabad was kicked into the lead. But a furlong or so
later he looked like a sitting duck as Planteur swept through from the back on
the bridle with a perfectly timed move, looking like he could blow by him in a
matter of strides.
However it turned out that Behkabad had plenty more in the
tank. When Planteur got to him Behkabad produced another surge that broke his
spirit and caused him to tire badly enough to wander around. Remarkably, it
looked like Behkabad still had something left and could have produced another
rally if Planteur had somehow been able to come back for more.
Only a top class horse can produce two big moves in a race
as Behkabad did here. And to do so after pressing a searching early gallop was
quite something.
I guess it's possible Behkabad could lose the Prix Niel
through lack of fitness when he comes back to prep for the Arc in September. But
having seen this run I'd be extremely wary of opposing him at mile and a half.
As I see it, he has the Arc at his mercy.
Runner up PLANTEUR (41) would have won a normal renewal of
the Grand Prix de Paris and was unlucky to come up against such a smart winner.
It is worth pointing out though that he lacks the smart turn of foot that's
usually needed to win the very biggest Group 1's. This is why he had a
pacemaker.
In the Prix du Jockey Club Planteur lost three and a half
lengths to Behkabad in the final furlong and a half. Here his jockey and
pacemaker gave him every chance but it was always going to be tough for him to
come from behind a rival that has shown superior acceleration.
I don't see Planteur turning this form around in the Arc,
but that remains his obvious target. I do hope he stays in training next year
because he could do very well indeed assuming Behkabad is bundled off to stud
like most of the Aga Khan's three year old stars.
JAN VERMEER (39) was held up at the back, tracking Planteur
in an obvious effort to mimic the favourite's game plan. He made his run at the
same time as Planteur but did so down the inside in and adventurous move that
could so easily have led to traffic problems but didn't.
After gaining ground rapidly Jan Vermeer's run flattened
out from after the two furlong pole. The first two ran away from him in the
final furlong and the strong finishing Goldwaki very nearly caught him for
third.
Despite the fact that he's by Montjeu and has reached the
first four in the biggest 12 furlong races for 3YO's in Britain, Ireland and
France, it's hard to argue against the idea that Jan Vermeer doesn't quite get
the distance. This being so it does look a good idea to run him in the Juddmonte
International. The ten and a half furlongs of that contest should suit him
admirably, and at this stage it's looking like a pretty soft Group 1, one that
Jan Vermeer could easily win.
Olivier Peslier certainly earned his fee on board fourth
placed GOLDWAKI (39). He had to row his mount along all the way from the start
as he struggled to keep tabs on the field in last place. Eventually Goldwaki's
stamina kicked in and he charged past horse after horse up the straight, so
nearly catching Jan Vermeer for third.
The searching pace and yielding ground clearly helped
Goldwaki a good deal here as they put the emphasis on stamina which Goldwaki has
in abundance.
Goldwaki lost his sole start at two over an inadequate mile
but had won all four of his starts this year at longer trips prior to this smart
run.
Goldwaki is a very strong horse that seems to have little
in the way of early speed. However he just keeps staying on and has finished all
his races out powerfully. His two winning siblings both stayed two miles plus
and he's by the smart mile and a half performer Dalakhani. Clearly he has plenty
of stamina.
His two best runs have been on his last three starts when
stepped up to a mile and a half.
In the first of these Goldwaki had to be stoked up a long
way from home to get rolling but eventually did so and powered away in the
closing stages, only having to be ridden out hands and heels to score
comfortably from Brigantin who had later ran stablemate Lawspeaker to a similar
margin.
That race was on soft ground. In the Prix du Lys it was
good and despite a moderate early pace Goldwaki had to be scrubbed along a bit
in last place. Again he had to be stoked up a long way from home but again got
rolling to win going away by a length.
Watching Goldwaki run it looks like he has an almost
bottomless well of reserves to draw on that he'll keep on dipping into until he
finally gets to the lead in the closing stages - or not as was the case here.
I guess Goldwaki's connections will steer him towards the
Arc and hope the early pace is ferocious and the ground turns into a swamp. If
he were mine though I'd be taking a long hard look at the St Leger. In this
regard it may be significant that the only three French horses to run in the St
Leger in the last 22 years were all trained by Goldwaki's handler Andre Fabre.
Fifth placed LAWSPEAKER (37) had earned a rating of 39 from
me when winning the Derby du Midi but ran a little below that level here. After
moving well in a close fifth early on he came through to be second two furlongs
out then tired quite rapidly. It looked like he didn't stay even though he'd won
over the distance last time off a strong early pace. Perhaps the combination of
cut in the ground and sticking close to a furious gallop fond him out. Or maybe
he doesn’t quite get the twelve furlongs unless he's running around a tighter
track.
Lawspeaker is a well proportioned, muscular, rather classy
looking colt that looks built to produce a decent turn of foot.
On his first start over ten furlongs in March he ran rather
green as the race began in earnest up the straight and dropped back to seventh.
His jockey only rode him hands and heels from there, though pretty vigorously.
In the final furlong he started to get the hang of things and picked up pretty
rapidly to be a close fourth. He was moving well and finishing gaining on
everything crossing the line.
Next time out in a better race won by Ice Blue, Lawspeaker
moved up to be level soon after entering the straight. But his ears had been
going all over the place and he had half jumped in the air just before he began
his run. He wandered a little and looked disorganised as he slipped back to
third, still moving strong at the finish.
Lawspeaker won a minor provincial race after this when
stepped up to a mile and a half. But it was his run in the Listed Derby du Midi
that at Bordeaux that marks him out as better than he showed here.
In that race the early pace was strong. But he and his
useful stablemate Brigantin were able to sustain it up the straight to run away
from the rest of the field. Lawspeaker was never in trouble and won a shade
comfortably by a length and a half from Brigantin with the rest a further six
lengths back in third. He earned a speed rating from me for that put him just a
length per mile off the best achieved by Behkabad and Planteur before this race/
It's unusual for a Derby du Midi winner to be a Group 1
horse. But back in 2006 the winner was Grand Couturier who went on to run a
close fourth in the Grand Prix de Paris before winning twice at the top level in
America. Lawspeaker may yet be able to emulate him.
FUISSE SETS UP FASCINATING 'HEAD TO HEAD' WITH GOLDIKOVA
IN MAROIS
Criquette head looks to have found a worthy challenger for
her brother's Goldikova in FUISSE (42) who has just romped home in the Group 3
Prix Messidor.
Held up off the scorching early gallop which resulted from
his pacemaker getting taken on, Fuisse swept through in the closing stages to
cruise four lengths clear and clock a seriously fast time.
Looking at Fuisse you'd never think he'd be fully effective
over a distance as short as a mile. He's a great big tall horse with a simply
enormous stride. However with the aid of a pacemaker he's been able to win
really good races over a mile on his last three starts while clocking very fast
times.
Last year Fuisse showed he's Group 1 class by running
second of seventeen in the Prix du Jockey Club over ten and a half furlongs. He
looks likely to run in the Champion Stakes over half a furlong short of that
trip later on this season. Meanwhile he looks a genuine threat to Goldikova in
the Marois.
The Messidor, like the Marois and the Champion Stakes, is
run on a straight course. This seems to suit Fuisse very well, no doubt due to
his huge stride.
It's interesting to note that Fuisse's dam was a useful
hurdler and chaser that's produced the steeplechaser First Feerie. He's yet
another example of the interesting new French trend of mating jumping dams with
flat sires. This has already produced the Group 1 winners Zarkava, Vision d'Etat
and Full Of Gold, the latter being a half brother to Fuisse
BLEK THE ONE TO BEAT IN CADRAN
BLEK (40) was impressive when sprinting away by a long
looking three lengths in the Group 2 Prix Maurice de Nieuil. It now looks clear
he's the best stayer in France.
It's hard to read any clear patterns into Blek's form as
he's so darned consistent, having won eleven of his nineteen starts. However it
does look quite possible that he's best when fresh. That is on his first two
runs off a ten week break or with a five week break thereafter. He's won the
last six times he's been this fresh and lost the two times he hasn't.
Blek has a seriously good turn of foot for a stayer and was
able to produce it here despite the strong early gallop. This bodes well for his
big Autumn target the Prix du Cadran where he looks the one to beat.
UN AIR DE SALSA CAN WIN A GROUP RACE
UN AIR DE SALSA (39) is the kind of horse that gives every
owner hope. He lost couple of claiming races early in his career and got beat in
his first fourteen races. But this season, for reasons I'm not yet able to
fathom, he's improved massively. He won three handicaps from four tries,
including two valuable ones, the latest under a welter weight. Now he's gone and
won a good Conditions race at Longchamp in a time fast enough to take a Group
race.
Un Air de Salsa is a close coupled, medium-sized , well
proportioned sort that can produce a very good turn of foot. he used it here to
sweep down the outside and pick up the second placed Botanique close home. He
only won by a neck but was always going to get there once he started his run and
ended up winning a shade cheekily. He'll surely be winning in Group company
sooner rather than later.
BOTANIQUE (39) is also good enough to win a Group race but
all his wins have been on either soft ground or Fibresand. Clearly he needs a
surface that isn't jarring. Here he showed his best on ground that race times
suggest was yielding rather the official 'very soft' (official going
descriptions are often massively wrong in France due to their over-reliance on
the penetrometer readings).
Right now Botanique is going to be hard to place as the
ground tends to be faster than he wants in the Summer. In the Autumn and Winter
he should get a better chance to shine.
DARYAKANA WOULD HAVE A REAL SHOT IN KING GEORGE
You won't see many Group 1 races more slowly run that this
year's Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud. The field went awfully slow early on. This
ensured that the contest turned into a flat out sprint up the homestraight.
They came home almost four seconds faster over the final
three furlongs than in the fastest race on the card, the good Tierce Handicap.
In the circumstances it was not that surprising PLUMANIA
(14) held on to score by a nose. She has a brilliant turn of foot on firm ground
and got first run on her main rivals.
Seeing how well she did in a sprint finish on firm ground
here I'd be very interested in Plumania's chances in the Breeders' Cup Filly
& Mare Turf. She's Breeders' Cup nominated so there'd be no need to pay a
big supplementary entry fee to get her into the race. Her prospects for her next
target, the Prix Vermeille will clearly depend on the ground.
Runner up YOUMZAIN (14) came from last entering the
straight to very nearly get up on the line. He's amazingly consistent, having
reached the first four in 17 of the 21 Group 1 races he's contested. But he does
seem to lack that vital something which wins at the top level as he's scored
just once in his last twenty outings.
Third placed DARYAKANA (14) has twice won over longer
distances and was probably most inconvenienced by the sprint finish. She rallied
really well but just went under in a three way photo. I got the impression that
if the early pace had been even a bit stronger she'd have stretched her unbeaten
run in 12 furlong plus races to six.
Daryakana's trainer says she's best during the Summer and
that he hasn't ruled out the idea of running her in the King George. I'd like to
see her go for the big Ascot race as it's looking rather a weak renewal at this
stage. She's already shown she can win a big international race over 12 furlongs
against males. Off the stronger pace she'd surely meet at Ascot I'd give her a
real shot.
CELIMENE (13) is a very smart filly with a terrific turn of
foot and she used it her to finish strongest of all into fourth place. Trainer
Carlos Lerner says he thinks she's fine going around right-handed bends but her
record keeps on saying he's wrong.
Celimene has lost all four times she's run around
right-handed courses but before her last two starts (both smart runs against
Plumania) had won all four times she'd tackled left-handed ones like
Saint-Cloud. And although she doesn't hang or go wide it does look significant
that the tighter the turn the worse she's run on right handed tracks.
The tightest right handed track Celimene has tackled is
Dusseldorf where she ran in the Preis der Diana (German Oaks). In that race she
looked to be going okay most of the way. But as they rounded the fourth turn,
the one before the final one, she dropped back rapidly from third to fifth place
and had to be ridden along vigorously. She held her position until they began
rounding the final turn where she fell back even more rapidly. She ended up
being allowed to come home in her own time, finishing far back.
Celimene has run well at Longchamp on her two starts this
season, finishing close up behind the brilliant Cutlass Bay in the Prix
d'Harcourt and the Prix Ganay. But the turn at Longchamp is so big and sweeping
many horses are able to begin their finishing run while they're still rounding
it.
It could be that the apparent left-hand bias in Celimene