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HAIL THE CHIEF

 

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I wrote this report in 2,000. In it I predicted that Hail The Chief was likely to improve beyond the speed figure equal to 109 Beyer that I had awarded him if he was sent to America and raced on dirt. I also predicted that he would be effective at a mile and a quarter. Hail The Chief ended up winning the $500,000 Hawthorne Gold Cup over a mile and a quarter on dirt in the USA, earning a Beyer speed figure of 115.

Here is what I’ve been able to dig up on Hail The Chief. He is bred on both the dam and the sire’s side to prefer dirt. He’s very progressive and is definitely up to winning in at least G2 class in America. He has shown that he gets a mile and a sixteenth and a mile and a quarter is possible. Certainly he should get a mile and an eighth. He’s still only three and could well end up a G1 horse.

PAST PERFORMANCES

HAIL THE CHIEF

3yo b.c. Be My Chief-Jade Pet (Petong)

Date    Track Dist going PP Class Wt Fin        Comment                                        Beyer

29Nov00Wol 1m1/6 fst 2/11 Hcp 123 1-0.5 led till hdd 4f out, led 2f out, rdn, r.o. well    109

25Nov00Wol 1m1/16 fst 7/13 Hcp 123 1-2 Chs ldr: ridden to ld over 1f out: ran on well  95

7Nov00Lin 1m fst 7/12 Hcp 135 1-no lost pos after 2f, rallied and up late driving             85

11Oct00Lin 1m fst 8/12 Hcp 129 2-no headway 3f out: ran on inside final fulong              83

24Sep00Bri 7f T sft 5/16 Hcp 123 6-5.8 a.p: rdn 2f out: ev ch ovr 1f out: one pace          75

6Sep00Eps 7f T gd 3/12 Hcp 119 2-1.3 a.p: rdn ovr 3f out: r.o. one pace final f              51*

10Aug00Bri 7f T g-f 4/9 Alw 121 1-0.8 a.p: led ovr 1f out: hrd rdn, edgd lft: r.o.wl            77

31Jul00Fol 7f T str g-f 4/8 Hcp 121 1-0.8 dwlt: hdwy, swtchd rt 2f out: ld 1f out: drvg        87

20Jly00Eps 7f T gd 3/17 Hcp 133 12-12.8 prom: led ovr 2f out till ovr 1f out: sn wknd      63

10Jul00Wind 1m T sft 4/16 Hcp 126 6-14 prominent till weakened 2f out                           63

30Jun00Fol 7f T str frm 3/8 MSW 119 2-2.5 lost pl 3f out: rallied & impeded 1f out: r.o.     65

16Jun00Goo 1m T g-f 4/5 MSW 126 4-8.3 Held up: ridden over 2f out: soon beaten       55

24Jun99Sal 7f T frm 2/15 MSW 126 10-9.8 off slow: hdwy 3f out: edgd lft, wknd               27

*slow early pace

ANALYSIS

In Britain, dirt or All Weather horses only seem able to reproduce their best on turf when the going is firm. In fact most also need to run at Epsom, Brighton or Yarmouth, the three fastest turf tracks and the ones which most closely resemble dirt (due to their loose chalk/lime-based surfaces).

Looked at in this regard, Hail The Chief has done pretty well when he’s encountered the right surface. Toss out his first two starts (I assume he was unfit) and he’s won five of his seven tries on good to firm or firm turf or the All Weather. The two losses both looked really unlucky. He got outpaced over seven furlongs and then was impeded as he tried to get to the winner. Then he got outpaced again over the lightning fast equitrack at a mile before finishing like a whirlwind.

If this horse had raced solely in America he might well now be on a seven race winning streak.

One thing is for sure; Hail The Chief is very smart indeed. He just keeps running faster and faster with every run. Last time out he beat a very useful dirt horse in Sir Ferbet. Third was Mellow Jazz who’d just won a valuable fillies race on the All Weather. Fourth by ten lengths was Baron De Pichon, a 3YO who has won eight times on the AW.

I rated Hail The Chief’s effort as being equal to a 109 Beyer.

From the way he runs and his pedigree, it looks likely that Hail The Chief found 7f and the fast mile at Lingfield a bit too short. He has progressed tremendously over the 1m 100 yards trip on the very deep and slow Wolverhampton surface. I can’t see there being any doubt that he’d get a mile and an eighth. It also seems likely he will stay a mile and a quarter, just like his half brother, Just Wiz.

Hail The Chief is rather reminiscent of Hal’s Pal, one of the best AW horses to race in Britain. He has a similar style of racing and distance preference and has run similar speed ratings. He looks likely to be a solid Graded stakes class performer in America. My ratings suggest he has already run fast enough to win a G2. He is clearly very progressive and could well run a bit faster, particularly over slightly longer distances.

QUOTES FROM OWNER/TRAINER etc

29Nov 2,000

“He's in great form and this is his best performance yet. The boss has always thought a fair bit of him, and I believe he has a £50,000 race at Lingfield in January in mind for him”. - Taffy Williams (R Hannon's traveling head-lad)

24 Nov 2,000

"Hail The Chief likes Lingfield and it seems he also handles the different surface here," Taffy Williams representing Richard Hannon.

SIRE

BE MY CHIEF

Be My Chief was champion European two year old in 1989. His best win came in the 1 mile G1 Racing Post Trophy. He is best known in America for siring Donna Viola, the top filly on turf a few years back. In fact, in Britain, where most of his progeny race, he has done exceptionally well with his runners on the AW (dirt) tracks.

All told, 32 of Be My Chief’s 136 UK winners have been on dirt. This is an unusually high percentage. On average a sire with that many winners would have just 16 on dirt for that represents the percentage of dirt or AW races run in Britain during the time Be My Chief has been active as a sire. In other words, Be My Chief has had twice as many dirt winners as you’d expect if his progeny were equally effective on both turf and dirt.

To date, Be My Chief’s progeny have won 32 times in 264 runs on dirt. That’s a strike rate of 12.12%. On turf they’ve won 113 times out of 1315 in Britain and elsewhere. That’s a strike rate of 8.59%. In other words, Be My Chief’s progeny have won 1.41 times as often in their dirt starts as their turf outings.

Given Be My Chief’s very much dirt-oriented US pedigree, his progeny’s seeming preference for dirt is hardly surprising.

It is also interesting to note that the progeny of Be My Chief have an atrocious record on off turf. On yielding or heavy turf they have won just 8 times out of 157 or 5.1%. On good to firm or firmer turf they’ve won 60 times out of 568 or 10.56% of the time - more than twice as often. Again, this is very much in line with how the progeny of a predominantly dirt sire perform when racing on grass.

As for distance preference, Be My Chief’s do seem to exhibit a strong bias. His older runners in better class contests have only succeeded very rarely at trips less than a mile or longer than a mile and a quarter. About 75% of his best runners seem to be effective at 8-10f.

DAM

Jade Pet was a good sprint handicapper in Britain. Her best effort was probably when third in the valuable Coral Sprint Cup at three. As a 2YO she only lost in a photo to the decent pattern racer Rohita. Most fillies as fast as Jade Pet would have earned at least a bit of black type. She was a bit unlucky not to.

So far, Jade Pet has had just one other foal besides Hail The Chief. This is Just Wiz.

Just Wiz has blanked in 20 turf starts but has won four of his twelve runs on the All Weather (dirt). He’s actually a pretty decent performer on the dirt, having earned speed figures as high as 99 Beyer from me.

Despite being by the pretty speedy sire Efisio, Just Wiz has shown his best form at a mile and a quarter.

Efisio has sired the winners of 37 Group and Listed races, not one succeeded beyond a mile. Clearly therefore, Jade Pet somehow seems to be a source of stamina despite her speedy pedigree and great record in sprints.

 

EXTENDED PEDIGREE

HAIL THE CHIEF C, 1997 DP = 2-6-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.63

                                       NORTHERN DANCER b. 1961 2-d

CHIEF'S  CROWN*                         DANZIG* (CAN)* [BC]           

b. 1982    21-12-3-3                           b. 1977 [IC] dkb/br.

                                            PAS DE NOM 1968 7-a

                                                          ch. 1970

         BE MY CHIEF          $2,191,168       SIX CROWNS SECRETARIAT* [IC] 2-s

          b. 1987                         ch. 1976 CHRIS EVERT* 1971 23-b

 

                               dkb/br.

                SIR IVOR*                                            SIR GAYLORD* 1959 [IC] 2-s

                                                                                 b. 1965 [IC]

                                LADY BE MINE                  ATTICA* ch. 1953 8-g

   HAIL THE                1978           MY ADVANTAGE PRINCELY GIFTb. 1951 13-a

      CHIEF                              1966 (GB)

        1997

                                                 MY GAME (GB) 1957 14-c

                                                              dkb/br.

                                          MANSINGH           JAIPUR* 1959 8-c

                                   PETONG (GB) b. 1969  TUTASI 1963 10-a

                                  gr. 1980

                                          IRIDIUM                 LINACRE (GB) blk. 1960 15-a

                                              1969                  TULA MELODY 1962 8-a

                            JADE PET

                                 1991 

                                                 NORTHERN b. 1961

                                    TRY MY BEST                   DANCER [BC] 2-d

                      PEA GREEN       b. 1975                (CAN)*

                              1985               SEX APPEAL ch. 1970 8-f

                                    ONE DEGREE               CROONER (GB) b. 1966 1-l

                                          1979           RHYTHM 1969 B4