My idea was based partly on the fact that Red Rocks was
tiring in the last furlong at Epsom.
I felt that the only reason he was able to win the 2006
Breeders' Cup Turf over a mile and a half was that it was run on lightning fast
ground around a track that's just seven furlongs in circumference. Seeing that
Red Rocks had lost the other eight times he'd gone beyond a mile and a half I
figured he wanted the slightly shorter trips more often available at the top
level in America.
More importantly I believed that Red Rocks tends to get
outpaced on the long straight stretches of galloping tracks. He needs something
to take the advantage away from horses with more pace than him. Namely tight
turns, a steep uphill finish or soft ground. Before he ran in the Man O War
Stakes at Belmont Park he'd had these things four times at less than 12 furlongs
and more than a mile and won all four times.
Sure enough Red Rocks made it five out of five around the
ten and a half furlong oval of Belmont Park's Widener Turf Course. In doing so
he beat the brilliant dirt horse CURLIN (40) into second place.
Red Rocks was well suited by the unusually fast pace for an
American turf race. He outkicked Curlin decisively in the closing stages.
If he were mine I'd have no hesitation in keeping Red Rocks
in America in the run up to his bod for a second Breeders' Cup Turf. The
opposition on turf is weaker Stateside and the races are more suitable.
As I see it Curlin simply must go back to dirt following
this run. He was made to look woefully one-paced in the closing stages. Like
many top dirt runners he's a great big beast of a horse that is all about
strength rather than acceleration. That's fine on dirt where the final furlong
is normally run in 13 seconds or slower. But it wasn't helpful here even though
the relatively strong early pace (for an American turf race) caused the runners
to back up to run the final furlong in a relatively slow 11.86 seconds. In a
more normally run US turf race, where top class horses often run the final
furlong in under eleven seconds, Curlin will surely get left for dead.